Analysis of Gosloto "6 out of 45": is there an optimal strategy and what are the chances of success

2024 Author: Leah Sherlock | [email protected]. Last modified: 2024-01-17 12:35

The desire to easily get a large amount of money without making significant efforts for this is typical for most of the inhabitants of our planet. And no matter how much you say that free cheese is only in a mousetrap, people are always looking for ways to get rich instantly. And, oddly enough, some succeed. A completely legal way to get such an amount at a time that you can’t earn even in a lifetime with ordinary work is playing the lottery. One of the most popular in Russia is Gosloto 6 out of 45. Let's analyze it in detail and see if it makes sense to participate in the game.

Lottery Terms

First, consider the rules of Gosloto "6 out of 45". The lottery is a drawing lottery, that is, to determine the results, draws are held periodically (in this case, 2 times a day), which are broadcast live on the Gosloto website. In this case, a special device is used, called a lottery drum, with the help of which six numbers are selected from 45 balls, each of which is marked with one of the natural numbers from 1 to 45. Participants of the lottery pre-mark their six numbers on their tickets,trying to predict the outcome of the draw. The main prize is won by players who have matched all 6 numbers. You can also win less if you match 2 to 5 numbers.

19 numbers.

Is there a scam here?

In Russia in 2013, a law was passed prohibiting individuals from holding lotteries. Thus, only the state remained. This guarantees citizens the reliability and honesty of this business, so there is no doubt about the reality of the possibility of winning a big prize. All equipment used undergoes special certification at scientific institutes.

Probability of success

Let's analyze Gosloto "6 out of 45" for a chance to win one of the prizes. To begin with, consider the situation when a non-expanded bet is made, that is, the player selects only six numbers. It is believed that all possible combinations of numbers that the loto drum gives, equiprobable. Statistics confirm this fact. Therefore, the probability of winning is equal to the ratio of the number of "lucky" combinations to the total number of all possible options.

Mathematically, the total number of combinations in a lottery is defined asthe number of combinations from 45 to 6. For the general case with a combination of n to k, their number is determined by the following formula:

С=n! /k! / (n-k)!

This formula is the main and, in fact, the only one used to analyze Gosloto "6 out of 45" and similar lotteries ("5 out of 36", "7 out of 49") for the probability of winning. According to it, the total number of combinations given out by the lottery drum is 45! / 6! / 39!=8 145 060. Accordingly, the chances of a jackpot with a non-revolved bet are less than one in eight million. However, the Gosloto "6 out of 45" system allows you to win even those who guessed only a few numbers out of six The probability of getting secondary prizes is presented in the following table.

Guessed numbers	Chance
5	1 to 34 808
4	1 to 733
3	1 to 45
2	1 to 7

Using a flat rate

The ability to choose not six, but more numbers before the draw dramatically increases the chances of winning. The fact is that this increases the number of combinations that can bring the jackpot. Their number is calculated according to the same formula above. So, if you bet on eight numbers, you get 8! /6! /2!=28 winning combinations.

After similar calculations, you can make a probability tableExpanded bet win:

Expanded rate	Number of "good" combinations	Chance to win the jackpot
7	7	0, 000000859
8	28	0, 00000343
9	84	0, 0000103
10	210	0, 0000257
11	462	0, 0000567
12	924	0, 000113
13	1716	0, 000211
14	3003	0, 000368
15	5005	0, 000614
16	8008	0, 000983
17	12376	0, 00151
18	18564	0, 00227
19	27132	0, 00333

This analysis of "Gosloto" 6 out of 45 "shows that an increase in the number of numbers chosen by the player leads toa significant increase in the chances of winning, but they still remain small. With 19 numbers, the probability is 1 in 300, which means that the lottery participant will almost certainly lose. At the same time, the price of the expanded rate is very high. If the choice of six numbers costs 100 rubles, then for the detailed bet it is necessary to lay out an amount as many times as large as the number of “successful” combinations it gives the player. So, for 19 numbers you will have to pay 2,713,200 rubles.

Reviews about Gosloto "6 out of 45"

The opinion about the lottery of people who failed to win large sums in it is not very interesting for the majority, because everything is clear here anyway. But what can those who managed to hit a huge jackpot tell about how this victory affected them?

On the one hand, all the winners confirm that they are paid money, they really receive these huge sums. However, you still have to pay taxes. But how does the life of the lucky ones change? Basically, they buy new houses or apartments for themselves, several cars each (both for themselves and for their families), go on expensive vacations. Often people leave their jobs, especially if they are not prestigious and underpaid (for example, a nurse in a hospital).

However, many of the winners simply do not know what to do with such amounts, especially if the winnings are measured in hundreds of millions of rubles. It is very difficult for these lucky ones to drastically change their lifestyle to a new one that matches their condition. For example, a pensioner and her daughter, who lived in a small urban-type settlement in the Bryansk region, won about 500million rubles. But, having received this money, they did not move to Moscow or even Bryansk, although they could do it without any problems. They continue to live in the same place, although in a new house. In fact, although the win helped them solve all everyday problems, they did not change their lifestyle, since the victory did not change their inner world.

And here is the key difference between money earned "for nothing" and money earned by hard work. The very fact of hard and hard work changes the psychology of a person, makes him successful, hardens. Therefore, such people not only know how to earn a lot, but also understand how to spend money correctly. In the case of luck in the lottery, such an internal change does not occur in a person, so he is not ready for such a sharp change in the size of his wallet. This is precisely the reason for many sad stories, when money that fell, as if from heaven, did not make the winners happy, but broke their lives.

Conclusions

So, before analyzing Gosloto "6 out of 45" for winning strategies, think about whether you are ready for such changes in your life. Isn't it better to change it with your own work? If the desire to play still remains, then we announce the sad news - all lotteries are built in such a way that, on average, it is unprofitable for a player to participate in them, and there are no winning strategies.

Yes, one person may be lucky, but his prize is paid by other participants in the game who failed to get anything. However, only 50% of the revenue fromticket sales are used to pay prize money, the rest goes into the pocket of the organizers. So think 100 times before buying a lottery ticket. Gambling almost never makes anyone happy, but there are plenty of sad stories associated with it.